tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3760564129542327742024-03-13T11:56:15.361-07:00The Sports Resource BlogGo to <a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/"><u>The Sports Resource website</u></a>Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.comBlogger56125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-75264261252053909892014-07-31T13:48:00.001-07:002014-07-31T13:54:26.119-07:005 Ways Sports Agents Can Get More Value from Twitter<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Last year in The Sports Resource Newsletter, we detailed <a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/newsletter/mar2013.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: black;">w</span></a><a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/newsletter/mar2013.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: black;">hy Twitter is awesome for agents</span></a>. Since then,
many more agents have established a Twitter presence. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">If you took that step, how can you get more out of
Twitter? Here are <b>five ways for sports agents to build value with Twitter
for both your agency and clients</b>. </span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">1.</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> <b>Make it visual</b>. Twitter
changed its profile format to make it easier to display photos. It’s also great
for sharing links to YouTube videos. Why not post a video on your Triple-A
closer mowing down a batter? Infographics are big now as well. They are
ideal for sharing stats on your clients, which leads to…</span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">2.</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> <b>Share your own content</b>.
Many agents use Twitter to share links on their clients from popular sports
websites. While this carries some benefits, <a href="http://thesportsresourceblog.blogspot.com/2014/04/its-all-about-content-and-agents-can.html" target="_blank">we recommend an approach that builds your brand and your
clients’ brands far better</a>. Since agents have insight into their clients
like nobody else, you can provide insight without needing the media.</span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">3. Tell your agency and client stories</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">. Can
you tell a story in 140 characters? It takes time, but it can be done. Share
information gradually. What do your players do better than anybody else? With
tools like advanced metrics, Pitchf/x, and SportVU, there is plenty of
information to create interesting posts. </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">4. Timing is everything.</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> Sports
insiders, athletes, and fans all engage on Twitter most when games are going on
– the bigger the event, the greater the engagement. If you can’t post during
games, you can easily schedule key tweets in advance as explained below.</span></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">5. Leverage technology.</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> Free
tools like Hootsuite make it simple to schedule posts in advance. It’s also a
great way to program tweets you want to repeat. This is valuable because –
given the amount of Twitter traffic – it’s unlikely anybody will notice that
you repeated the same tweet. If it’s a key message, your followers are more
likely to see it. </span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Building
value with Twitter takes consistency and volume. One tweet a week won’t do
it, so tools like Hootsuite become valuable.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">For agents and sports businesses just getting started or yet
to establish a Twitter presence, we offer a free 15-minute consultation to get
you started. Sign up at <a href="mailto:marketing@sportsresource.net" target="_blank">marketing@sportsresource.net</a>.</span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-1497587695274045972014-06-05T12:03:00.000-07:002014-06-05T12:14:17.075-07:00The Real Reason Spurs Players Are Underrated<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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</xml><![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">In the next two weeks, we’re going to
hear all the explanations for why the Spurs get so little publicity. The most popular
reasons – they’re businesslike, they feature an unselfish balanced attack, and
they play in a small market – are somewhat accurate. However, the main reason
Spurs players get so little publicity is simple – <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">they don’t play a lot</b>.</span><br />
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">San Antonio did not have a single player average 30
minutes per game during the regular season. Every other NBA team had at least
two, and most clubs had three or four. What does this have to do with
publicity? <a href="http://thesportsresourceblog.blogspot.com/2011/03/problem-with-per-game-statistics.html" target="_blank">Most of the media still uses meaningless per game stats for evaluation</a>, and it is hard to
shine in these categories while getting so few minutes per game. </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Only one Spurs player, Tony Parker,
ranked among the league’s top 50 in points per game (minimum: 1,000 minutes
played), and he placed 45<sup>th</sup>. Points per 40 minutes, which evaluates
scoring far better, tells a completely different story. San Antonio placed <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">four</b> players in the top 50 in points
per 40 minutes – Parker, Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, and Patty Mills) – which
tied the Suns for most in the league. </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The Spurs had <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">five</b> players among the top 50 in John Hollinger’s PER (Player
Efficiency Rating), with Kawhi Leonard joining the aforementioned group. <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">That led all NBA teams</b>. Their NBA
Finals opponent is the only other team with four. PER also does not get
impacted by playing time.</span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Parker ranked just 15th among point
guards with 16.7 points per game. However, he placed seventh with 22.7 points
per 40 minutes. He doesn’t play nearly as much as other elite point guards, and
that’s the main reason he gets less attention.</span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Given the rapid growth of the San
Antonio market – combined with the soaring population of Austin just an hour
and a half to the north – it’s not exactly remote. The Spurs also <b>do not</b>
possess a balanced attack. Four San Antonio players attempted 15 or more field
goals per 40 minutes. Only the Pistons (five) had more. The Spurs scoring appears
balanced because Gregg Popovich distributes playing time so evenly, but Parker,
Duncan and Ginobili all have high usage rates.</span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Like so many topics in sports that get
overanalyzed, the truth is in the numbers. </span></div>
<br />
<br />Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-36380006286069190692014-04-29T12:08:00.000-07:002014-04-29T12:33:23.227-07:00It’s All about Content, and Agents Can Cash In <!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Five current trends add up to an
<b>amazing opportunity for sports agents</b>, which can have a huge impact on their
bottom line.</span><br />
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</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Sports fans continue to crave more
specialized content.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Symbol; mso-fareast-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">·<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Search engines now value interesting,
original content. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></div>
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</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Sports agents have unmatched access to
their clients.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Symbol; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Symbol; mso-fareast-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">·<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";">
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The cost of production – to put quality
content out to the public – is lower than ever. </span></div>
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</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Innovative sports metrics and data make
stories on players even more compelling.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">As detailed in <a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/newsletter/feb2014.html" target="_blank">February’s Sports Resource Newsletter</a>, today’s younger athletes grew up with technology. They
find information – like identifying and comparing sports agents – with Google and
online tools. So <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">a high search engine
ranking is solid gold territory</b>, <a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/newsletter/april2014.html#4signs" target="_blank">yet few agencies have claimed it</a>. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The solution is to generate original content
on your clients. The common practice of linking to articles on ESPN.com and team websites is
a big negative with search engines, not to mention that it builds their brands
instead of your agency’s brand. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So why
do it? Nobody knows players like their agents, and nobody can tell their story
better. </span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">When you combine this insight with the power of sports
analytics and technology, you’ll have an edge when recruiting players – and
promoting current clients – that few can match</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">. </span></div>
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<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The Sports Resource consulted on more than $1 billion
in player contracts since 2010. Our data-driven digital solutions combine the
power of sports analytics with web development and content creation. Contact Steve
Fall at 404-447-1861 or <a href="mailto:steve.fall@sportsresource.net">steve.fall@sportsresource.net</a> for a free
15-minute consultation.</span></i></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-7436927162167582582014-03-05T12:40:00.000-08:002014-03-05T13:03:27.262-08:00What Happens Next?<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The 2014 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics
Conference is over, and it’s time to get down to work. So what comes next? While
this post is more for people looking to break in or <a href="http://thesportsresourceblog.blogspot.com/2011/06/will-this-be-your-breakout-year.html" target="_blank">break out in sports</a>, it could prompt ideas for
insiders as well. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The best way to reach your dreams and
goals is to help somebody else reach theirs. So here’s how to take concepts
from the conference and use them to build value for others. </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Choose. </span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Sports analytics can
do much more than people realize, not less.<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">
</b>There are many organizations, companies, and individuals in the sports
industry who can gain a competitive advantage with quantitative information. Focus
on areas where you can show indisputable proof of its value. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They may not be at the highest level of
sports, but they certainly exist. </span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Think beyond the playing surface</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">. The best opportunities may lie in sports business, where
innovation can move as slowly as on the field. Identify things that don’t make
sense. For example, why do teams spend millions on a gigantic new video board, and
then fill it with per game stats, batting averages, and videos of two hands
clapping together? </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Create</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">. One way to mine innovative
– and valuable – research is to merge two or more different types of data. Combining
park effect statistics and weather data is one example, and <a href="http://www.hardballtimes.com/class-race-weather-and-getting-ahead-in-major-league-baseball/" target="_blank">this impressive study is another</a>.</span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Compel</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">. Some sports insiders will
ignore hard data and evidence no matter what. Will anybody ever
convince Jim Boeheim to play his bench more? Fortunately, there are college
teams led by coaches that think like Brad Stevens, who are more likely to consider new concepts and welcome analysis from outside sources. The level of acceptance will vary widely at all levels, so find the best targets and demonstrate how analytics will make an impact, either in the win column or bottom line.</span></div>
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But once a team or organization succeeds with a fresh approach, others rush to
follow. </span></div>
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<![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">One of the keys to solving the value
puzzle in sports is <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">separating what the
player controls and what he doesn’t</b>. Sounds simple, but it’s not.</span><br />
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">In baseball arbitration, context can be a huge factor</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">. In extreme examples – such as pitcher who plays home games
in Coors Field – the arbitration process makes the proper adjustments to salaries.
But there are many others where it doesn’t. For example, factors like run
support, defensive play, and bullpen performance all have a massive impact on
starting pitcher statistics. </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Relievers also face challenges when it
comes to context. Holds and saves greatly influence arbitration salaries, and
they get impacted by the man calling the shots. Managers vary tremendously in
how they handle relievers, and this can be good or bad for pitching stats. Here
are just a few examples:</span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Pitching Changes</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">: Some
managers change pitchers far more often than others. Giants Manager Bruce Bochy
used 524 relievers in 2013 versus 440 for Washington’s Davey Johnson. The
frequency of Bochy’s changes created more opportunities for holds. Giants
relievers had 46 holds of less than one inning. The Nationals had just 15.</span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Free Passes</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">:
Seattle’s Eric Wedge ordered 48 intentional walks last season, compared to 10
by John Farrell and the Red Sox. This hits the statistics of relievers
especially hard, since they pitch far fewer inning than starters. Intentional
walks cause stats like walks per nine innings and WHIP to rise, even though the
pitcher did nothing to cause it. Because intentional walks are usually poor
strategic moves, they can also increase a reliever’s ERA.</span></div>
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<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Wearing Them Down</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">: Overuse
can also make relief pitchers less effective. The Red Sox and Indians had similar
ERA figures – both for their starting rotation and bullpen – yet Terry Francona
worked his pen much harder. Cleveland relievers pitched on consecutive days 122
times. Farrell, on the other hand, used Red Sox pitchers only 71 times without a
day of rest.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Every player’s situation is different. And The Sports Resource identifies how context impacts all the stats that matter in arbitration. </span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-48844753378811671122013-06-25T08:44:00.000-07:002013-06-25T09:02:20.680-07:00Stepping Up<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<![endif]--><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">Who
increased their scoring rate more than anybody else during the NBA Playoffs? Was it
NBA Finals MVP LeBron James, the hot-shooting Danny Green, or an emerging star
like Paul George? Actually, none of them came close. The correct answer is a backup
point guard for a club that didn’t survive the first round.</span><br />
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">Andre
Miller upped his points per 40 minutes rate from 14.6 during the regular season
to 21.8 in the playoffs. His 7.2 points increase led all players who saw at
least 1000 regular season and 100 postseason minutes.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">Since
much of the media focuses on misleading per game stats, vital details like this
get missed. While points per game is never a good metric, it’s even less
effective during the playoffs when rotations shorten. Regulars see more minutes
per game which can cause per game stats to increase even when per minute
production dips. Our simple adjustment eliminates this bias. The top
10 appears below. Among superstar players, Chris Paul posted the largest increase.</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Andre Miller</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 51.2pt;" valign="bottom" width="68"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">21.8</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">14.6</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+7.2</span></div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.75pt; mso-yfti-irow: 2;">
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 20.8pt;" valign="bottom" width="28"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">2</span></div>
</td>
<td style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 94.5pt;" valign="bottom" width="126"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Gerald Green</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 51.2pt;" valign="bottom" width="68"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">21.0</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">15.6</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+5.4</span></div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.75pt; mso-yfti-irow: 3;">
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 20.8pt;" valign="bottom" width="28"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">3</span></div>
</td>
<td style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 94.5pt;" valign="bottom" width="126"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Carl Landry</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 51.2pt;" valign="bottom" width="68"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">23.1</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">18.6</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+4.5</span></div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.75pt; mso-yfti-irow: 4;">
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 20.8pt;" valign="bottom" width="28"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">4</span></div>
</td>
<td style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 94.5pt;" valign="bottom" width="126"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Chris Paul</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 51.2pt;" valign="bottom" width="68"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">24.5</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">20.3</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+4.1</span></div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.75pt; mso-yfti-irow: 5;">
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 20.8pt;" valign="bottom" width="28"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">5</span></div>
</td>
<td style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 94.5pt;" valign="bottom" width="126"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Udonis Haslem</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 51.2pt;" valign="bottom" width="68"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">12.3</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">8.2</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+4.1</span></div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.75pt; mso-yfti-irow: 6;">
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 20.8pt;" valign="bottom" width="28"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">6</span></div>
</td>
<td style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 94.5pt;" valign="bottom" width="126"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Draymond Green</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 51.2pt;" valign="bottom" width="68"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">12.6</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">8.6</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+4.0</span></div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.75pt; mso-yfti-irow: 7;">
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 20.8pt;" valign="bottom" width="28"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">7</span></div>
</td>
<td style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 94.5pt;" valign="bottom" width="126"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Gerald Wallace</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 51.2pt;" valign="bottom" width="68"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">13.8</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">10.2</span></div>
</td>
<td nowrap="" style="background: #B8CCE4; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: .75in;" valign="bottom" width="72"><div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in; text-align: center;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+3.6</span></div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 15.75pt; mso-yfti-irow: 8;">
<td nowrap="" style="background: #DBE5F1; border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 20.8pt;" valign="bottom" width="28"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">8</span></div>
</td>
<td style="background: #DBE5F1; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 15.75pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; width: 94.5pt;" valign="bottom" width="126"><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0in;">
<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Francisco Garcia</span></div>
</td>
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<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">11.2</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Andre Iguodala</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">17.8</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">14.9</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">+2.8</span></div>
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<br />
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">One
more key point: scoring drops during the playoffs because teams play at a
slower pace. Among the 105 players who met the criteria, only 38 (36.2 percent)
scored more points per 40 minutes in the playoffs. This makes the performances
of Miller and Paul even more impressive.
</span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-50861093733245597042013-04-08T12:20:00.005-07:002013-06-11T14:13:16.339-07:00Ghosts, Moonlight Graham, and the Fan Experience<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">During the movie <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">Field
of Dreams</i>, Kevin Costner’s character Ray Kinsella sees Moonlight Graham’s
statistics on the scoreboard while watching a game at Fenway Park. Kinsella
soon realizes that a ghost is responsible for that information, and nobody else
in the ballpark sees it besides him.</span><br />
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Now 24 years since the movie debuted, are we approaching the
day when sports venues display personalized content on the video board? </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">While it’s currently impossible for each fan to view
different content on the same scoreboard, personalized statistical content
would <b>benefit fans, clubs, and brands/sponsors</b>. Why should I have to
view meaningless items like “Pujols has gone 2-for-3 lifetime against pitcher
A?” On the other hand, I’d like to see stats like win expectancy and left/right
splits that have a major impact on the game. </span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Mobile apps provide one solution. However, do teams want
thousands of fans looking down at their devices? Fortunately, there are other alternatives. </span></div>
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<br />
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;"><b>1)</b><span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"><b> </b></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><b>Teams
could dedicate one of their smaller video boards to advanced statistical
content</b>. A tech/data-related company would jump at the chance to sponsor
this feature to build its brand.</span><b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> </span></span></b><br />
<br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2)<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><b>Fans
in luxury boxes could choose between content options like “old school stats”,
“advanced metrics”, or “fun and games” on their video screens</b>. All three could
share the screen with the game’s live video feed.</span><b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> </span></span></b><br />
<br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3)<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><b>One
inning per game, clubs could show advanced statistical content on the big
screen</b>. </span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">All three approaches offer <b>great sports sponsorship activation
opportunities</b>. Best of all, they make the game far more interesting for the
fan. </span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-74595662079094278252013-04-02T11:22:00.000-07:002013-04-02T11:53:18.977-07:00A Breakthrough for Role Players<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">For several years, The Sports Resource has recommended
companies use non-superstar players for endorsements. Role players who excel in
specific ways or possess unique traits can build brands at a much lower cost
than superstars. </span>
<br />
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The news that <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/darrenheitner/2013/03/29/atlanta-hawks-dahntay-jones-partners-with-harmans-jbl-audio-company/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter" target="_blank">Hawks guard Dahntay Jones signed a partnership deal last week</a> demonstrates that companies are coming around to
this concept. The 6-6 Jones sees just 12.4 minutes per game, but plays
sensational defense. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;">With this approach in mind four years ago, <a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/pdf/Marreese_Speights_2.swf" target="_blank">we created a sample on Marreese Speights</a>. <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">What makes this a winning strategy for brands?</b><span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> </span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1)<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;">Many
role players, such as Jones, have <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">large
audiences on social media</b>. He had over 21,500 Twitter followers. This
creates opportunities for brands to interact with thousands of fans through the
player’s voice.<span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> </span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2)<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;">Every
NBA player excels in at least one vital area, or else he wouldn’t be on a roster.
For a defender like Jones, <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">brands
could use insightful defensive metrics to activate the sponsorship</b>.<span style="mso-list: Ignore;"> </span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: Georgia; mso-fareast-font-family: Georgia;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3)<span style="font: 7.0pt "Times New Roman";"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">The
cost to sign role players to deals is far less than what it takes to land a
superstar.</span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">We also believe companies should identify and sign promising
young players for endorsements <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">before</i>
they break out – a tactic where analytics provides <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">a huge edge and can save millions of dollars</b>.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Speights, now just 25, possessed considerable upside four
years ago. And while he’s yet to see big-time minutes, he remains a very productive
role player. Speights puts up <b>20 points and 10 rebounds</b> per 40 minutes. Only 10
other players currently match that achievement, including stars like Blake Griffin
and Tim Duncan. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Should this trend gain traction, players who build their
brand on social media will get endorsement opportunities that only the
superstars previously enjoyed. As for brands, <a href="http://thesportsresourceblog.blogspot.com/2011/06/five-reasons-to-activate-your.html" target="_blank">we’ve already detailed why it pays to activate sponsorships with statistics</a>. And <b>that approach works great for all
types of players</b>.</span></div>
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<![endif]-->Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-60510839954644462992013-03-21T11:19:00.000-07:002013-03-21T11:50:29.418-07:00Valuable Takeaways for Sports Agents from the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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</xml><![endif]--><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-size: small;">It’s fascinating to hear how analytics <span style="font-size: small;">is shaping <span style="font-size: small;">the </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-size: small;">sports </span></span>industry. However, t</span></span>he key question we as<span style="font-size: small;">k after </span></span></span><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-size: small;">the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conferenc<span style="font-size: small;">e is</span></span></span>: what can we do with all this <span style="font-size: small;">great informa<span style="font-size: small;">tion</span><span style="font-size: small;">?</span> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-size: small;">With that in mind, this post identifies
<b>actionable information that sports agents can use</b> with minimal investment in
both time and money.</span></span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"> </b></span><br />
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">First of all, I believe the conference gets misunderstand.
It’s not only about the benefits of sports analytics and how teams can gain an
edge. It features as much content on sports business and technology as
statistics. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Here’s how one sports agent from the past could leverage
today’s technology, if he actually existed. Back in 1996, <a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0116695/" target="_blank">Jerry Maguire</a> had it
rough. After SMI fired him, he faced a huge challenge competing with agents like
Bob Sugar. Here are three problems he encountered, followed by solutions that
didn’t exist 17 years ago. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">On a shoestring budget, Jerry found it nearly impossible to generate a positive
image for his client Rod Tidwell</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">. Today, Maguire could easily build a
website with dynamic content and blog posts that provide insight
into the real Rod Tidwell. Jerry’s Twitter account (and Rod’s as well) would
link to these updates and share details that never find their way into the
mainstream sports media. Best of all, Jerry could automate his tweets with a
tool like HootSuite. So he could enjoy a night out with Dorothy while his
tweets reach thousands of followers and build Tidwell’s brand. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Maguire
struggled to land quality endorsements opportunities for Tidwell</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">.
He even placed him in one ad that required sitting atop a camel in the desert. Today,
Jerry could use exciting technology like <a href="http://www.brandmatchscore.com/" target="_blank">BrandMatch Score</a>, which enables
companies to identify their best potential endorsers by measuring campaign
specific data, athlete statistics, and consumer perceptions. Representatives
from BrandMatch Score explained their tools could also be used by agents to
find sponsorships for their clients.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Unlike
larger agencies like Sugar’s SMI, Maguire could not afford to hire experts in
areas like sports medicine</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">. Fortunately, tools like <a href="http://www.dartfish.com/" target="_blank">Dartfish</a> make
it possible for him to compare arm angles for his baseball clients and/or
quarterbacks, using nothing but a Smartphone and $5 iPhone app. Future Hall
of Famer John Smoltz studied his pitching motion with Dartfish, which helps analyze
performance and avoid injuries. </span></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Of course, large sports agencies can
also gain an edge technology. The difference today is that <i>all</i> agents can
take advantage of these and other amazing tools to even the playing field. </span></span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-19019374143794041402013-02-06T19:33:00.000-08:002013-02-06T19:48:21.542-08:00The Best Defense for Arbitration<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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</xml><![endif]--><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">One
of our <a href="http://thesportsresourceblog.blogspot.com/2013/01/arbitration-and-free-agency-key.html" target="_blank">recent posts</a> detailed vital differences between baseball arbitration
and free agency. Here’s another major one: an opposing party isn’t trying to discredit
exhibits in your free agency packet. That <i>is</i>
true in an arbitration hearing.</span><br />
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">The Sports Resource strives to make agents a<span style="font-size: small;">rbitration </span>briefs “rebuttal proof” by going on the offensive. One
way to do this is <b>make key points at
least three different ways</b>. This strengthens your arguments and defends
them against the close scrutiny that always follows your presentation.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">Even
a powerful arbitration exhibit can get refuted when the club has its rebuttal
time. Dismissing a point supported by multiple exhibits is much more difficult.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">If
one theme focuses on a position player’s clutch performance, we first demonstrate
with core numbers. For example, we could show a strong slash line (batting
average/on-base percentage/slugging percentage) late in close ballgames. Another
exhibit could detail all the player’s clutch achievements in the platform
season: extra inning hits, game-winning RBI, etc. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">Advanced
metrics like win probability added – a great tool for this purpose – can drive
home the point even further. Finally, we may include pertinent quotes from
baseball insiders like teammates, coaches, or even front office members. <b>This not only supports the numbers, but
makes them come alive</b>. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="MsoNoSpacing">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">It’s never easy. The player may not have excelled in all these statistical categories,
or he may have shined in some during the platform year but not his career
timeframe. We find the right balance, avoiding anything that appears contrived,
and <b>build support for the main themes</b>
<b>of the case</b>. </span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-22585384440752244442013-01-08T15:16:00.001-08:002013-01-08T15:33:21.731-08:00Starting at the Top<span style="font-family: Georgia;">The term “leadoff man”
usually applies to the number one hitter in the lineup. However, all batters lead
off innings. In fact, traditional leadoff men bat first in fewer than 20
percent of their team’s total innings.<o:p></o:p></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">When the leadoff batter for
an inning reaches first base, his team’s run expectancy becomes .86 runs. If he
makes an out, it drops to just .26. That’s a <b>huge swing and teams face this situation nine times each game, 162
games per season</b>. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">While number one hitters
get the most opportunities in this role, everybody in the lineup receives
numerous chances over the course of the season. For example, Michael Bourn led
off more innings (282) than any Braves batter by far. But that was just 19.6
percent of the team’s total innings. There were 327 Major League players who led
off at least 50 innings in 2012. Most position players – including those
currently arbitration eligible <b>– </b>impacted
their teams in these situations. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">So who stood out when leading
off innings last season? None of the top five players in on-base percentage resemble
prototypical leadoff men, but all shined in this role: Joey Votto (.457 OBP),
Travis Hafner (.456), Miguel Cabrera (.456), David Ortiz (.441), and Joe Mauer
(.439). <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">This data also enables us
to measure how number one hitters perform in these situations, when getting on
base is much more valuable than with one or two outs. The arbitration-eligible Austin
Jackson had a .409 on-base percentage when leading off an inning versus .355 in
all other plate appearances. So <b>when he could
make the greatest impact by reaching base, </b></span><st1:city><st1:place><b><span style="font-family: Georgia;">Jackson</span></b></st1:place></st1:city><b><span style="font-family: Georgia;"> excelled</span></b><span style="font-family: Georgia;">.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">We can dig deeper in this
analysis as well. Reaching <b>second base</b>
to start innings carries major value – a 1.07 run expectancy. A slugger topped
this group as well. Giancarlo Stanton got to second base (or further) 28 times
in 121 inning leadoff plate appearances. His 23.1 percentage blew away
everybody with at least 50 plate appearances in these spots. </span><st1:city><st1:place><span style="font-family: Georgia;">Oakland</span></st1:place></st1:city><span style="font-family: Georgia;">’s Brandon Moss topped all arbitration-eligible
players. He made it to second in 16.4 percent of his leadoff
plate appearances, seventh best overall in MLB. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">This analysis results
from one small shift in thinking. <b>In
arbitration and free agency, such approaches can really pay off</b>.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-53788278322059278162013-01-04T09:14:00.000-08:002013-01-04T09:28:53.180-08:00Arbitration and Free Agency: A Key Distinction<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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</xml><![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">Baseball
arbitration and free agency differ tremendously in one respect: free agency is
about what a player <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">will</i> achieve
while arbitration focuses on what he <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">has
done</i>. </span><br />
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<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">Future
projections – based on past performance – play a role in free agency. But
projections aren’t included in the arbitration criteria. This distinction makes
certain types of information and analysis, which clubs may not want to see in a
free agent package, <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">extremely important
to an agent’s arbitration brief</b>. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">For example,
skills like bunting and advancing runners with outs won’t fetch top dollar on
the free agent market. But arbitration is a whole different ballgame. Exhibits
detailing how a player excelled at “little things” – that <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">resulted in wins –</b> help make your brief a winner. Demonstrate how
he performed better than comparable arbitration eligibles in these
areas, and it <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">strengthens your case even
further</b>.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">Gregor Blanco
didn’t post big numbers in core statistical categories, but he <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">delivered in many other ways that impacted
the Giants outstanding season</b>. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">1) Blanco did
not hit into a double play in 453 plate appearances. This had only been done
seven times since 1950.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">2) He advanced a
runner from second base with nobody out in seven of eight plate appearances in
this situation. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">3) He drove in a
runner from third base with less than two outs 10 times in 18 opportunities. Six
of these RBI came in the seventh inning or later, seven contributed to wins and
three made up the margin of victory in one-run games. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">4) Blanco topped
25 steals and had 5 triples in fewer than 400 at-bats. Only one other Giants player had done that since
1912. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">5) He executed
five successful sacrifice bunts. The Giants went 4-1 in these games. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">All those feats
are impressive enough, but they also<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">
contributed to a World Championship team</b>. Looking back, for arbitration, that
bottom line is all that matters.</span></div>
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-51516912855782592672012-12-05T13:37:00.000-08:002012-12-05T13:42:42.989-08:00Complete Halftime Analysis<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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</xml><![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Most
halftime shows include comments from former players and coaches about how teams
must “pick up the intensity” or “step up” in the second half. In basketball
games, analysts talk about strategies like “getting the ball inside” or “taking
better care of the basketball.”</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">While
such input from former players and coaches is valuable, it is far from complete
analysis. You need to get into the numbers for that to happen. <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Sports analytics provides powerful insight </b>and
doesn’t need to involve anything complex. The concept of <a href="http://thesportsresourceblog.blogspot.com/2009/06/regression-to-mean.html">regression to the mean</a>
reveals far more about what to expect in the second half, and only requires
comparing a few key stats.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Let’s
say one team shoots 8-for-10 from three-point range to grab a 10-point lead while
the other clanks 1-for-9. If both teams entered the contest shooting 40 percent
on the season, it is almost certain that both teams regress to the mean – the 40
percent mark – in the second half. Defense impacts these stats, but randomness
(or luck) is a huge factor in small samples. As more shots get taken, teams
should move toward their season percentage and cause the score to tighten up.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Free
throw percentages are another great stat to examine at halftime. Unlike
three-pointers, they aren’t defended. So randomness plays an even
greater role.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">I
believe broadcasts will soon have a statistical expert offering such insight –
alongside coaches and/or former players – on halftime shows. But until that
happens, we can all do it ourselves.</span><br />
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Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-67763156789411055172012-11-29T12:53:00.003-08:002012-11-29T13:07:32.212-08:00Four Ways to Build Value for Arbitration<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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</xml><![endif]--><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">The arbitration
season is a crazy time of year for baseball agents and The Sports Resource. So
before it gets into full swing, here are strategies for making your briefs a
winner.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">Building a brief
starts with telling a compelling story in the player profile section. That
makes matching the player against key comparables easier and more convincing.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">The approaches
below work for both the player profile and comparables sections, and will make
powerful points that complement a brief's core elements.</span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";"> </span></b><br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">History, All-time Greats, and Rarities</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">. While their achievements may not find their
way onto SportsCenter, <span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">players record
historic achievements throughout the regular season</span>. For example, Antonio
Bastardo’s 14.0 strikeouts per nine innings rate this season has been matched
by just <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">two lefthanders in Major League
history</b>: Billy Wagner and Aroldis Chapman. We’re not saying Bastardo is as
good as Wagner (obviously), but linking his name to an all-time great is huge.
And such feats carry value even when they don’t involve common statistics.</span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";"> </span></b><br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">Marginal Value adds Major Value</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">. Players on teams that narrowly reach
the postseason – such as the Orioles and Cardinals this year – help their <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">teams generate $25-to-$50 million</b> of
additional revenue. That’s according to research by Vince Gennaro, a consultant
for Major League teams and author of the book “Diamond Dollars”. Reaching the
playoffs also impacts club revenues for up to <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">five seasons</b>. Demonstrate how your player made that two or
three-game difference for his club (and his key comparables didn’t), and you
score a huge plus.</span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";"> </span></b><br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">Ballpark Figures</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">. Park factors can be a tremendous weapon
in arbitration. Hitters in Safeco Field, or any of the five California stadiums, are <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">ideal for park adjustments</b>. The same
goes for pitchers in Coors Field,
U.S. Cellular
Field and Fenway Park. <a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/newsletter/sept2012.html">Our last newsletter addressed this topic for free agency</a>. The concept works differently in arbitration – because
the criteria does not allow for projections – but it’s a great tactic for
evaluating past performance.</span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";"> </span></b><br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">Advanced Metrics</span></b><span style="font-family: "Georgia","serif";">. Clubs have used win expectancies and
leverage index against relievers in recent hearings. So why not do the same?
Even if they don’t help your case, it pays to prepare information for rebuttal.
WAR is a powerful tool as well, but works better at some positions than others.
Although their explanations consume some presentation time, <b>advanced metrics
complement core numbers extremely well</b>.<br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
</span><br />
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Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-12915490155495364312012-11-15T11:03:00.002-08:002012-11-15T11:07:08.277-08:00Aircraft Carriers, Adjustments and ArbitrationLast Sunday, Syracuse faced San Diego State aboard the USS Midway in San Diego Harbor. The wind made shots beyond a few feet an adventure. One baseline jumper by Syracuse forward C.J. Fair seemed to blow two feet off course and wound up an air ball.<br />
<br />
The shooting percentages were low for both sides, but especially dismal for the Aztecs. They made just one three-pointer in 18 attempts and shot 27 percent overall. At the foul line, they sank 42.4 percent. Broadcasters Dick Enberg and Steve Kerr commented frequently about the conditions, at one time saying the players probably wish these stats wouldn’t count in their season numbers.<br />
<br />
While the statistics need to count, <b>we <i>can</i> make adjustments for the context</b>. Other teams have played on ships. Using those averages to adjust actual statistics provide a better indication of how well the teams and players performed. Of course, it’s only one game and won’t impact final season numbers very much.<br />
<br />
<b>Baseball players on teams with extreme venues like Safeco Field and Coors Field aren’t so lucky.</b> They play 81 games in settings that have a <b>huge impact</b> on their statistics. While the Aztecs and Orange escaped the aircraft carrier after one game, Mariners hitters and Rockies pitchers have no such opportunity. The altitude never changes in Denver, and neither does its effect on statistics.<br />
<br />
Fortunately, <b>in baseball arbitration and free agency, we can make adjustments for context</b>, but it’s not always simple. Just as the outside shooters struggled more than big men aboard the ship, <b>ballparks affect different players in different ways</b>. Left-handed power hitters in Minute Maid Park make a great example. Since the stadium debuted in 2000, there have been 28 20-home run seasons by Astros’ right-handed batters, <b>just one by a lefty hitter</b>.<br />
<br />
Extreme environments call attention to the need for adjustments. However, we need them for less obvious conditions as well, not just for basketball games aboard aircraft carriers.
Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-81120838553475379812012-07-18T10:40:00.001-07:002012-07-18T10:49:35.602-07:00Do-It-Yourself Three-Point Shooters<br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">With five seconds left on
the shot clock and all their teammates covered, guards have to create. Some perform much better at it than others. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">Creating and then converting
a three-pointer is basketball’s version of a grand slam. A 24-second violation nets
nothing – and a wild shot attempt isn’t much better. So it’s a three-point
swing if a player can nail a three off the dribble. <b>Since few players shoot high percentages in these situations, the</b> <b>players who excel have tremendous value</b>.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">After evaluating all three-point
shooters for volume, accuracy and the ability to create their shot without an
assist, <b>Spurs guard Gary Neal stood out</b>.
He hit 41.9 percent overall from three-point range last season, even though only
54.2 percent of his made threes were assisted. On average, 84.2 of NBA three-pointers were assisted in 2011-12.</span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">Most top three-point
marksmen have a very high percentage of their threes assisted. That’s no
problem of course, it’s their job to spot up and drain threes. But <b>it makes players who can convert threes off
the dribble even more valuable</b>, especially for teams that don’t get many
open three-point looks from their set offense.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">In addition to Neal, other
players who shine in this area include <b>Kyrie
Irving, Kyle Lowry, Jose Juan Barea and Lou Williams</b>. <o:p></o:p></span></div>Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-23286111799188817752012-06-27T11:23:00.000-07:002012-06-27T11:23:31.942-07:00The Common Factor<br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">Besides playing for the
Oklahoma City Thunder, </span><st1:personname><span style="font-family: Georgia;">Kevin</span></st1:personname><span style="font-family: Georgia;"> Durant, Russell Westbrook and James Harden don’t
seem to have much in common. And that was the case when the Sonics/Thunder selected
them in three consecutive drafts, except for one key factor. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<b><span style="font-family: Georgia;">All three players were exceptionally young for
their class</span></b><span style="font-family: Georgia;">. At 18.74 years old on
draft night, Durant was the <b>youngest freshmen</b>
(and player) taken in the past five drafts combined. One year later, they
landed the <b>youngest sophomore</b> from
these five draft classes. Westbrook, at 19.62 years old, was actually younger
than many <i>freshmen</i> in the 2008 draft.
Then they took Harden in 2009. Only one other sophomore besides Westbrook was
younger than Harden at 19.83.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">As a result, the Thunder
nabbed three players with far more college playing experience than prospects
their same age. The Sports Resource Newsletter covered this topic last year. Westbrook,
for example, had played 75 games for UCLA. Most of the draft selections close
to his age had fewer than half that many.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">Obviously, it wasn’t just
about their age relative to their class. Durant and Harden also put up
outstanding statistics, but so had many others in their draft class. <b>Their numbers were made far more impressive
</b>by the fact that they were over one year younger (in some cases) than
players that shared the same college class. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: Georgia;">Maybe other teams valued
this common factor, but went another direction on draft night. Perhaps it’s
just a coincidence that </span><st1:city><st1:place><span style="font-family: Georgia;">Oklahoma City</span></st1:place></st1:city><span style="font-family: Georgia;"> exploited this edge three straight years. Whatever happened, the
Thunder may soon start the next NBA dynasty because of those selections.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-27922861247021451412012-02-24T08:43:00.004-08:002012-02-24T08:58:36.120-08:00Time to Move OnIf a point guard had these averages after his name (3.6 PPG, 1.9 APG), most people wouldn’t think much of him. But if you change them to 21.3 and 11.3, that’s a different story. These stats are actually for the same player during the same timeframe. They show Jeremy Lin’s production in his first nine games this season <span style="font-style:italic;">before</span> he saw regular action and exploded on the scene. The second set of numbers reveal Lin’s numbers per 36 minutes of game action. He began his strong performance before Linsanity, although few noticed.<br /><br />Once some ideas become entrenched in sports, it’s difficult to change. I have no idea why basketball started using per game statistics, but it’s time to stop. NBA players – even those that we call regulars – vary widely in minutes played per game. We already saw how useless they are for bench players. Per game stats cause misconceptions about performance, and hamper the ability to identify breakout players. We should evaluate players per minute or, better yet, per possession. But the latter concept is too great a leap for the mainstream. <br /><br />In the meantime, here’s an alternative to points per game. <span style="font-weight:bold;">True Scoring Rate (TSR)</span> is simply a player’s points scored per 36 minutes. Why 36 minutes? That’s the approximate average for a top NBA starter. This way we find out who scores at the greatest rate, something points per game has never done. <br /><br />Points per game shortchanges players like Kyrie Irving, who had played just 31 minutes per game (through February 23). Irving ranked 23rd in points per game (18.1), but his 21.1 TSR placed 15th, ahead of point guards Tony Parker (20.3) and Chris Paul (19.1). Both surpassed him in points per game, largely because they saw more minutes.<br /><br />True Scoring Rate is not really new, just a way of simplifying per minute rates. It’s easy to understand and calculate. Most importantly, it adjusts for the large discrepancies in playing time. <br /><br />The next Jeremy Lin might be sitting on an NBA bench right now, and TSR can help find him.Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-51389192629824960772011-09-20T09:43:00.000-07:002011-09-20T11:59:40.375-07:00We Can Do That<span style="font-family:trebuchet ms;">Critics like to point out the shortcomings of sports statistics. There are areas where the numbers have minimal impact. But much of the criticism comes from misunderstanding what analytics do best. </span>
<br /><span style="font-family:trebuchet ms;">
<br /><a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2011/09/the-moneyball-effect-are-sabermetrics-good-for-sports/244453/">A recent article</a> stated that statistics do a much better job of describing the past than predicting the future. While there is some truth to that point, the predictive power depends on what you’re measuring.
<br />
<br />The article states that no stat could have predicted that Mark Whiten would have the greatest one-game offensive performance ever. That’s true, but it’s also an impossible task. On the other hand, metrics like batting average on balls in play and home runs per fly ball can identify which hitters should break out after slow starts. Remember Dan Uggla earlier this season?
<br />
<br /><strong>The real power of sports analytics is what they <em>can</em> do now and <em>will </em>do in the future</strong>, especially when combined with technology and/or social media. Last week, I learned about <a href="http://areyouwatchingthis.com/">an Austin startup</a> which built an algorithm that measures the level of excitement in sports games. Now fans know immediately if their favorite team is headed for a thrilling finish and whether to watch the game or not.
<br />
<br />Several years ago, while struggling to learn a new computer program, a colleague offered invaluable advice: write down everything you’d like the program to do, because it probably has that capability. Turns out that it could do everything I thought of and far more.
<br />
<br />I believe analytics and technology can solve many of the problems agents and other sports insiders face. In general, <strong>sports analytics can do <em>much more</em> than we realize</strong>.
<br />
<br />What is your greatest challenge? Analytics may have a solution. Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-6758237047099359392011-08-17T19:53:00.000-07:002011-08-19T07:08:25.282-07:00Simple and InformativeSave percentage is a useful statistic for closers, but not for other types of relievers. It has minimal value when evaluating setup men. Relievers that protect leads in the seventh and eighth innings rarely close games. Therefore, they have few chances to earn saves, but <em>can</em> still get blown saves.
<br />
<br />That explains how an outstanding setup man like Mike Adams could have a 50 percent save percentage (two saves in four save opportunities). The stat fails to demonstrate his ability to maintain leads, which he had shown by accumulating 24 holds this season.
<br />
<br /><strong>Save plus hold percentage</strong> evens the playing for closers and setup men, showing how well all relievers maintain leads. It is simple to calculate, yet gets little attention in the mainstream sports media. A hold is a save situation that gets preserved and passed on to the next reliever. So a hold is basically a save that does not end a game.
<br />
<br />To calculate save plus hold percentage, combine saves and holds and then divide by saves, holds and blown saves. Among relievers with at least 15 save and hold opportunities through August 16, these pitchers led the Major Leagues.
<br />
<br />
<br /><p><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5642026377350646674" style="DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; WIDTH: 400px; CURSOR: hand; HEIGHT: 189px; TEXT-ALIGN: center" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFSdjtt2yWPXcGioB5RAhVoze97XcrdoZhTkhGDvKG4zvoU3vRbKpNTHcryNV-u0fv7J7wOmBUrqkQHveSy6lE3SpitfMjkaIVj5GoCA2cdAza5f0a0w8MaIQPjqh5gWKKHz7J0vCJa8PB/s400/New+Picture+%25282%2529.bmp" border="0" />The top 10 includes four closers, five setup men and one pitcher (Antonio Bastardo) who has filled both roles.
<br />
<br />Adams’ 92.9 save plus hold percentage left him just short of the top 10. But he easily surpassed the Major League average of 84.9 percent this season.
<br />
<br />Since it’s easy to explain and informative, <strong>save plus hold percentage makes a great tool for agents in both arbitration and free agency.</strong> </p>
<br />Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-17566629092372182402011-08-15T12:56:00.000-07:002011-08-15T13:14:55.177-07:00The Accelerators: Point Guards who Pick up the PaceWhen Pooh Jeter took the court for the Sacramento Kings last season, his teammates had to be ready to run. Based on a metric comparing team pace with and without each NBA player on the court, <strong>Jeter increased the pace more than any other point guard</strong>.
<br />
<br />The Kings had 4.1 more possessions per 48 minutes when Jeter played versus when he sat. Only three players at <em>any</em> position – who saw at least 750 minutes in 2010-11– surpassed him.
<br />
<br />This stat is just one way to <strong>put words into numbers and tell a story</strong>. While a scouting report saying a player pushes the ball is strong evidence, it becomes <strong>even more powerful when hard statistical information backs it up</strong>.
<br />
<br />Three starting one guards followed Jeter in this category: Jose Calderon, Russell Westbrook and Stephen Curry. Jeff Teague, another backup point known for his quickness, placed fifth.
<br />
<br />This metric may not always demonstrate speed. Calderon, for example, could excel at getting the Raptors a good shot early in their offensive sets. So while he’s not the type of guard who usually pushes the ball, Toronto still played faster with Calderon in the game.
<br />
<br />This stat does get influenced by who shares the court with each point guard. Obviously, you can’t run if your teammates can’t keep up. It also matters who plays the same position for their team.
<br />
<br />Nonetheless, <strong>NBA</strong> <strong>agents now have another tool to show how their free agents can impact clubs looking to up the tempo</strong>.
<br />Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-69635302266941358342011-08-12T08:40:00.000-07:002011-08-12T08:53:03.636-07:00The Other Side of TwitterI’ve built a sports news gathering organization comparable to ESPN. There are 640 correspondents everywhere from Rio de Janeiro to Rochester, New York to Vilnius, Lithuania. Twenty-four hours per day, seven days a week, the news keep flowing directly to my phone. And it costs absolutely nothing.
<br />
<br />Some view Twitter as a way of reaching out to others, which is absolutely true. But there’s another huge component that rarely gets mentioned: <strong>Twitter enables you to customize the news that comes to you.</strong> Whether I want to learn about a hot high school basketball prospect in New York City, track a minor leaguer in Williamsport, Pennsylvania or learn about emerging sports research or technology, I have a source.
<br />
<br /><strong>Twitter has major advantages over more traditional ways of gathering information, even Google:</strong>
<br />
<br /><strong>1) Getting the jump on real-time sports information</strong>. If there is a big trade brewing or other breaking news, you’ll see it on Twitter well before it hits the major sports websites. Why? Writers like Buster Olney or Ken Rosenthal will usually tweet before they post a story. It takes far less time to blast out 140 characters than an entire article that needs to pass through editors before reaching a webpage.
<br />
<br /><strong>2) Everything comes to you</strong>. The mindset has always been to seek out topics which interest and have value to us. Since Twitter enables you to select followers and subjects that provide news you care about, there is no effort or energy required to find it. Whenever you want it, specialized information is there waiting for you.
<br />
<br /><strong>3) Going beyond Google</strong>. For all its strengths, Google requires multiple steps to finding great sports info. You need to first find the right search terms. When you do, there’s no guarantee Google will have what you need. Even if it does, you may waste time sifting through meaningless links. With Twitter, the posts and links come to you. Your trusted followers do the legwork!
<br />
<br />While negative tweets have come back to haunt athletes and other people in sports, it’s not very common. Besides, interacting isn’t necessary. It’s possible to build your news gathering organization without ever posting.
<br />
<br />I’ve heard skeptics say “I barely have time to check email, why do I want to get on Twitter?” Unlike email, Twitter isn’t something you <em>need</em> to respond to. I’ll avoid reading Twitter for several days during baseball arbitration season. If somebody wants to contact you via Twitter, they’ll use one of its methods that directs correspondence to your inbox, just like an email.
<br />
<br /><strong>For sports agents, the other side of Twitter can have tremendous value</strong>. And it will only get bigger and better.
<br />Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-81179490785323511222011-08-09T07:16:00.000-07:002011-08-10T07:45:51.038-07:00The Big Three for PitchersLimit walks, avoid home runs and strike batters out. If pitchers excel in those three areas over time, they will succeed. It is easier said than done.
<br />
<br />All three areas are controlled primarily by the pitcher. He does not depend on his fielders for success in them, although home runs can get impacted by his home ballpark.
<br />
<br />Sabermetric theory holds that pitchers have limited control over the batting average on balls put into play against them. On these plays, pitchers with a strong defense behind them have a huge edge over those that don’t. Pitchers who perform well in the big three can usually offset poor fielding. And when helped by a strong defense, they can dominate.
<br />
<br />Our research shows that very few pitchers shine in all three of these vital areas. For both relievers and starters, we chose levels about 10 percent better than league averages. For relief pitchers, that was 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings and fewer than 3.0 walks and .75 home runs allowed per nine innings in at least 250 career innings pitched. Four active pitchers made the cut: <strong>Joakim Soria, Jonathan Papelbon, Mike Adams and Takashi Saito</strong>.
<br />
<br />The criteria for starters proved even tougher: 500 innings pitched, 7.25 strikeouts per nine innings, and fewer than 2.5 walks and .8 home runs allowed per nine innings. <strong>Roy Oswalt stood alone at these levels</strong>. Two young starters – Daniel Hudson and Madison Bumgarner – join Oswalt if we drop the innings requirement to 250.
<br />
<br />Incredibly, the groups expand by just one player apiece with non-active pitchers included. <strong>Reliever Tom Henke and starter Pedro Martinez join them</strong>.
<br />
<br />Several elite pitchers miss these lists by falling just short in one category, such as Mariano Rivera, C.C. Sabathia and Felix Hernandez.
<br />
<br />Prior to free agency and arbitration, we will update this research and vary the criteria to identify other pitchers who stand out in the big three. Why is this important for baseball agents? Because <strong>success in these areas makes pitchers more likely to sustain excellence when changing teams</strong>.
<br />Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-13339705107021861732011-08-01T10:03:00.000-07:002011-08-01T10:41:30.354-07:00Beyond the Basics: Sports Analytics and Baseball Free AgencyBaseball free agency is an exciting time for players, agents and The Sports Resource. Analytics can highlight a player’s achievements, demonstrate and quantify his value, and show his contribution to the club. Unlike arbitration – a process restricted by specific criteria – free agency packages can also focus on what’s ahead with statistical projections.<br /><br />Since free agency usually involves changing teams, this may add another level of complexity. But the insight gained from this research <strong>pays off both immediately and down the road</strong>, when it comes time for the next contract. Context impacts statistics far more than many realize, and joining a new club can dramatically change it.<br /><br /><strong>These four key questions address areas where sports analytics can have a major impact beyond the basic components of a free agency package</strong>.<br /><br /><strong>1. How will the level of competition affect your player?</strong> <a href="http://www.sportsresource.net/images/Sports%20Resource%201-10%20Newsletter.htm">We elaborated on the AL East's impact on player statistics in the January 2010 issue of The Sports Resource Newsletter</a>. Fortunately, methods exist to predict the impact of competition changes on individual players.<br /><br /><strong>2. In which ballparks would he excel?</strong> Actual performance in different ballparks can be valuable. However, players may lack enough plate appearances to make those statistics meaningful.<br /><br />Park factors give us an indication of how a player will perform when changing stadiums. Everybody knew that Adrian Gonzalez would benefit from leaving PETCO Park for Fenway Park. But it isn’t always that easy. Park factors vary from year to year largely due to weather patterns. Complicating matters further, many stadiums help certain types of hitters more than others. For example, Minute Maid Park is great for right-handed pull hitters with power, but not nearly as great for lefty home run hitters.<br /><br /><strong>3. What impact will a new lineup have?</strong> Hitting in a strong batting order has a positive effect on context-dependent statistics like RBI and runs scored, as well as batting average to a lesser extent.<br /><br /><strong>4. Are the potential new teams over or undervalued?</strong> Every player wants to win, so this last question is vital. Team records can prove misleading. So it’s better to examine Pythagorean won-lost records, which project winning percentage based on runs scored and allowed. For example, the Astros went 76-86 in 2010 and finished strong. That made them look like a team poised to turn the corner. However, their Pythagorean record was just 68-94. This makes their poor 2011 performance less surprising.Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-376056412954232774.post-90989288236173334062011-07-10T18:07:00.000-07:002011-07-10T18:27:28.264-07:00A Closer Look at Goal ScorersSports analytics hasn’t made nearly the same impact on the NHL that it has in the NBA or MLB, but that is changing.<br /><br />The MIT Sports Analytics Conference held this past March, included a Hockey Analytics Panel. Don Fishman, the assistant general manager and director of legal affairs for the Capitals, had one of the more interesting comments.<br /><br />“I think even strength stats and power play stats need to be drilled down more in terms of the value of a forward,” said Fishman. “You might have a fantastic forward that the coach is playing zero minutes on the power play. And you might think he’s having a down year. But when you filter out for even strength or shorthanded, he’s actually having a wonderful year. So statistics can lie, if you’re relying on power play stats.”<br /><br />The overall goal scoring leaders get impacted by both the <em>situations</em> in which they play and <em>how much</em> they play. But a <strong>couple adjustments can identify the league’s best scorers</strong>.<br /><br />We ran the numbers for all skaters who saw at least 750 minutes of even strength ice time in the 2010-11 regular season (430 players total). Here is the top 10 in even strength goals per 60 minutes.<br /><br /><img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5627899868194329474" style="DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; WIDTH: 400px; CURSOR: hand; HEIGHT: 259px; TEXT-ALIGN: center" alt="" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUS8e3ZIlRqFrPgN_HMFWkraw7MTdf27TJ4gsJXEgL7VYxeR4DWsJwKXJCVXx6VCo674VVV1XjG-LUG8zpC9Gttp1dr1ZRqzuB18MguNl5KHwB7MutV2LKKBDFddtOlAxca-CwAPZBZrQB/s400/Even+Strength+Goals.png" border="0" /> Only four of these players also finished in the top 10 for total goals scored: Corey Perry, Jeff Carter, Michael Grabner and Danny Briere. Grabner was most impressive, making the overall list despite only spending 70 minutes all season on the power play. He topped the table above with 1.62 even strength goals per 60 minutes.<br /><br />Alexandre Burrows also saw limited action on power plays - which hurt his overall statistics – but shined by scoring 1.45 goals per 60 minutes in even strength situations.Steve Fallhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09303277143883919223noreply@blogger.com0