Thursday, May 20, 2010

Adjusted Double-Doubles

No matter how well a player performs, playing time has a huge impact on per game statistics. Per game metrics remain the favorite of the mainstream sports media, even though playing time varies widely among those considered “regulars.”

A total of 15 NBA players averaged a double-double in 2009-10. The list includes several current and former All-Stars: Tim Duncan, Carlos Boozer, Chris Bosh, Dwight Howard, Pau Gasol, Steve Nash, Deron Williams, Chris Paul, Andrew Bogut, David Lee, Zach Randolph, Gerald Wallace, Troy Murphy, Kevin Love, and Joakim Noah.

Love’s achievement was most impressive considering he only played 28.6 minutes per game. The other 14 averaged 35.1 minutes per contest. Love became just the second active player to average a double-double in less than 30 minutes per game. Lee, the only other, matched his feat in 2006-07. Among the 31 total players to do this in NBA history, Love was the youngest ever.

It’s nearly impossible to average a double-double in less than regular action. Several more players could have reached this level had they seen as much playing time as the first group. So here is a group of additional players that projected as double-double guys based on points, rebounds, and assists per 35 minutes. This adjustment puts them on equal ground with the earlier group, which saw that much game action on average.

Lamar Odom
Brendan Haywood
Emeka Okafor
Udonis Haslem
Samuel Dalembert
Drew Gooden
Shaquille O'Neal
DeJuan Blair
Serge Ibaka
Kris Humphries
Nazr Mohammed
DeAndre Jordan
Louis Amundson

Expect the younger players on this list – Serge Ibaka, DeAndre Jordan, and DeJuan Blair – to emerge as they receive more burn in the upcoming seasons. All they need is additional PT to post big per game numbers.